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US Dollar Analysis May 3

US Dollar Analysis May 3

https://s18.picofile.com/file/8432569118/dollar_index_%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%AD%D8%AA_%D8%AD%D9%82.jpg

Will raising the rate of return on Treasury bonds support the dollar?

Late last week, we saw an upward return of the US dollar index. Most likely, this upward return was due to the settlement of accounts at the end of the month. This means that sellers have stabilized part of their profits by closing the sale deal, and some economic actors have been forced to buy dollars to settle their accounts. The US dollar index performed poorly in April. However, US economic data have been good, with Treasury yields and inflation expectations rising.

Currently, the growth of Treasury yields does not have a positive effect on the value of the US dollar. The US Federal Reserve set a meeting last week. The dollar did not react seriously to the meeting. In fact, the impact of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting was overshadowed by prices. The Federal Reserve has explicitly stated that as long as the US economy is at risk of coronation, interest rates will remain low and expansionary and monetary protection policies will continue. From the market point of view, the probability of raising interest rates by January 2022 is less than 10%.

The recent rise in US Treasury yields has been largely due to the tone of the US Federal Reserve. The head of the US Federal Reserve previously believed that inflation was temporary, but in a recent speech said that much of the growth was temporary. So far, bond yields have not been supported by the dollar. Meanwhile, prices continue to rise in the commodity market and somehow support market inflation expectations. If inflationary expectations continue to rise and exceed the rate of return on Treasury bonds, the real rate of return on the United States can be seen to decline again. This will not be good news for the dollar.

Important US economic data will be released this week in the Forex economic calendar. The ISM Manufacturing and Services Indicators, the Federal Reserve Speaker's Speech, the Factory Order Index, the ADP Employment Change Index, the US Unemployment Claims Index, the NFP Index, and the Wage Growth Rate will have a strong impact on dollar fluctuations.

03 May 21 ، 18:52 agreeین ۰ disagreeین ۰
rahathagh/راحت حق

US Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis Thursday, April 15

US Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis Thursday, April 15

https://s18.picofile.com/file/8430918600/usdollar_%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%AD%D8%AA_%D8%AD%D9%82.jpg

The downward trend of the US dollar index has intensified with the breaking of the 200-day moving average indicator.
If the price penetrates below the level of the 50-day moving average indicator at 91.60 points, we will see the continuation of the downtrend. Next, the price target in mid-March, which is 91.30 points, will be the next target for sellers.
In general, as long as the index is below the indicator of the 200-day moving average at 92.23, the overall trend is downtrend.


Technical levels
Last level of the day: 91.56
Daily fluctuations: 17 pips
Daytime fluctuations (٪): -0.10
Start: 91.65


Trends
20-day moving average: 92.43
50-day moving average: 91.57
100-day moving average: 91.03
200-day moving average: 92.26


Levels
Yesterday's highest level: 91.85
Yesterday's lowest level: 91.58


Last week's highest level: 93.11
Last week's lowest level: 92


Last month's highest level: 93.44
Last month's lowest level: 90.63


Fibonacci 38.2. Daily: 91.68
Fibonacci 61.8. Daily: 91.74


Pivot S1 Daily: 91.53
Pivot S2 Daily: 91.42
Pivot S3 Daily: 91.26
Pivot R1 Daily: 91.81
Pivot R2 Daily: 91.97
Pivot R3 Daily: 92.08

15 April 21 ، 21:25 agreeین ۰ disagreeین ۰
rahathagh/راحت حق

📈 US Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis Tuesday, April 6

US Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis Tuesday, April 6

https://s17.picofile.com/file/8429847234/dollarr_%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%AD%D8%AA_%D8%AD%D9%82.jpg
The downward trend of the US dollar index has stopped yesterday after the index hit the level of the 200-day moving average indicator at 92.40 points.
As long as the index above the level of the 200 moving average indicator fluctuates, the general trend is upward and the index is likely to grow.
On the other hand, if the index penetrates below the level of the 200-day moving average indicator, the probability of the index falling to 91.30 increases.

Technical levels

Last level of the day: 92.74
Daily fluctuations: 25 pips
Fluctuations of the day (۰): 0.16
Start: 92.59

Trends

20-day moving average: 92.29
50-day moving average: 91.38
100-day moving average: 91.05
200-day moving average: 92.44

Levels

Yesterday's highest level: 93.11
Yesterday's lowest level: 92.54
Last week's highest level: 93.44
Last week's lowest level: 92.72
Last month's highest level: 93.44
Last month's lowest level: 90.63
Fibonacci 38.2. Daily: 92.76
Fibonacci 61.8. Daily: 92.89
Pivot S1 Daily: 92.39
Pivot S2 Daily: 92.18
Pivot S3 Daily: 91.82
Pivot R1 Daily: 92.95
Pivot R2 Daily: 93.32
Pivot R3 Daily: 93.52

06 April 21 ، 19:24 agreeین ۰ disagreeین ۰
rahathagh/راحت حق

US Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis Thursday, April 1

US Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis Thursday, April 1

https://s17.picofile.com/file/8429298526/us_dollar_%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%AD%D8%AA_%D8%AD%D9%82.jpg
The US dollar index is experiencing a corrective trend after reaching its highest annual level in the range of 93.4 to 93.5 units.
Although in the short term the trend is still bullish, but as we approach the buy saturation zone, there is a possibility that the index will fall to the level of the 200-day moving average indicator in the range of 92 units.
If the index can maintain its position above the level of the 200-day moving average indicator, then we can expect the index to grow in the short term.

Technical levels
Last level of the day: 93.13
Daily fluctuations: 34 pips
Daytime fluctuations (٪): 0.17-
Start: 93.29
Trends
20-day moving average: 92.06
50-day moving average: 91.17
100-day moving average: 91.05
200-day moving average: 92.53
Levels
Yesterday's highest level: 93.35
Yesterday's lowest level: 92.88
Last week's highest level: 92.92
Last week's lowest level: 91.71
Last month's highest level: 91.6
Last month's lowest level: 89.68
Fibonacci 38.2. Daily: 93.17
Fibonacci 61.8. Daily: 93.06
Pivot S1 Daily: 93
Pivot S2 Daily: 92.7
Pivot S3 Daily: 92.52
Pivot R1 Daily: 93.47
Pivot R2 Daily: 93.65
Pivot R3 Daily: 93.94

01 April 21 ، 10:00 agreeین ۰ disagreeین ۰
rahathagh/راحت حق