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Return of gold ounces from key support

Return of gold ounces from key support


On November 30, 2020, the global ounce of gold, after hitting $ 1764, started moving up to the price of $ 1959.36. Gold traders entered the market around this rate, which resulted in the beginning of a new downtrend. Recently, gold ounce price movements have been restricted between the two downtrend lines. In today's trading, the market is again supported by the price of $ 1708.64 and the price of gold has risen. If the market continues to return positively from $ 1708.6 and the ounce of gold breaks the downtrend line, one can expect the market to move to the rate of $ 1742.21, the moving average of 50 and the resistance of $ 1767.
But if the ounce of gold definitively breaks the 1708.64-1700 range, it could start a new downtrend to support at $ 1675 and then $ 1650.

۱۴ اسفند ۹۹ ، ۲۲:۲۴
حمید راحت حق

Weekly Gold Analysis Sunday, February 21

Weekly Gold Analysis Sunday, February 21


Fundamental analysis of ounces of global gold

Investors and market professionals are also pessimistic about the future of gold prices after the global ounce price fell to its lowest level in eight months. The rise in US Treasury yields has been a major factor in lowering the price of an ounce of global gold. Analysts and traders are pessimistic about the future and medium-term trend of the global ounce of gold, while investors' optimism about the future of the gold market has reached its lowest level in several years. Some analysts believe that the price of an ounce of global gold could fall further in the medium term, as rising US Treasury yields could force the Federal Reserve to control the yield curve. Analysts believe that controlling the US yield curve could be to the detriment of the US dollar.
This week, 18 Wall Street activists took part in the weekly Kitco News review. 17% of respondents predict that the global gold ounce trend will be bullish. 72% predict that the market trend will be downward. Meanwhile, another 11 percent predict that the market will be trendless. Meanwhile, 1,292 Main Street investors took part in the online survey. 43% were in favor of an uptrend, 40% were in favor of a downtrend and 17% were in favor of a trend-free market.
Many analysts believe that the US Treasury bond market is the biggest threat to the gold market. Although inflationary pressures are on the rise, on the other hand, economic growth expectations are strong and therefore offset the effect of inflation expectations. These optimisms about the future of the world economy have led to an increase in US Treasury yields, which will eventually lead to an increase in real interest rates in the US economy. An increase in real interest rates is to the detriment of ounces of global gold, as it increases the opportunity cost of investing in gold.
The views of gold market professionals

Adrian Day, President of Adrian D. Asset Management Company
"The fall in the price of an ounce of world gold has been longer and deeper than I expected. "However, I think the gold market is entering a period in which long-term buyers are likely to either exit the market or refuse to re-enter the market." The professional activist went on to say that the pressure to sell ounces of global gold was too normal, but it should be noted that market price movements do not always proceed with the fundamental situation. Adrian Dee hopes to hit the gold market in the next week or two.
Ole Hansen leads Saxo Bank strategy team
This professional activist is pessimistic about the global gold ounce trend. He said that even if the fundamentals of the global ounce of gold were strong, he was still pessimistic about the future of the global ounce price. "Before the market starts to move upwards, it needs to change. "We are almost certain that inflation will grow faster than previously predicted, and when that happens, real bond yields will be balanced." According to Hansen, although the Federal Reserve is likely to control the yield curve, he believes that the Fed will not act until the rate hike hurts the US stock market.
David Madden Senior Market Strategy at CMC Markets
The activist expects the price of an ounce of global gold to fall as the rate of return on Treasury bonds rises. However, he remains optimistic about the medium-term ounce of global gold. "Increasing the yield on US Treasury bonds will draw all attention to a possible rate hike," he said. "While no central bank in the world wants to raise interest rates, there is still the possibility of an upward rally in the global ounce of gold." He added that the global ounce gold market fluctuates between $ 1,700 and $ 1,900. He does not expect the market to rise to $ 2,000, as the global economy shows signs of recovery.
Colin Cieszynski Senior Market Strategy at SIA Asset Management
According to the activist, part of the demand for gold has been lost due to the attractiveness of bitcoin and other digital currencies, especially since the price of bitcoin has risen above $ 50,000.
Marc Chandler is the CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex
The fall of the global gold ounce to $ 1,760 has driven many buyers off the market. One can expect the market to hit the range of $ 1810-1795. Crossing the global ounce price above $ 1820 could improve the technical outlook for the gold ounce. It has recently been rumored that Bitcoin is the gold of the modern world, but I do not agree with this idea. "I think it will take more time to judge."

۰۳ اسفند ۹۹ ، ۱۲:۱۴
حمید راحت حق

Weekly analysis of the global Gold Saturday , February 20

Weekly analysis of the global Gold Saturday , February 2

The GOLD price of gold yesterday experienced an upward trend from the lowest level in the last seven months. Gold traded lower at $ 1,760 and rose to $ 1,790 after the official start of trading in the United States.
Gold ended the week at $ 1,780 and fell 2.35% over the past seven days. This is the worst weekly gold performance since July.
After testing the support level of $ 1,765 to $ 1,770, the price of gold was able to start a corrective trend. Stabilizing the price below this level will cause a downward trend.
Similarly, the stabilization of the price above the level of $ 1,790 can be considered a sign of the possibility of an uptrend for gold.
However, the correction in the price of gold seems limited and there is a possibility that the price will fall. Investors' risk appetite has increased as Treasury bond yields have risen. On Friday, the 10-year yield on US Treasury bonds reached a one-year high of 1.35%.

Technical levels
Last price of the day: $ 1783.54
Daily fluctuations: 8.80
Daytime fluctuations (٪): 0.5
Starting price: $ 1774.74
20-day moving average: $ 1826.92
50-day moving average: $ 1854.34
100-day moving average: $ 1865.24
200-day moving average: $ 1858.94
Yesterday's highest price: $ 1789.76
Lowest price yesterday: $ 1768.46
Last week's highest price: $ 1855.5
Last week's lowest price: $ 1807.86
Last month's highest price: $ 1959.42
Last month's lowest price: $ 1802.8
Fibonacci 38.2. Daily: $ 178.62
Fibonacci 61.8. Daily: $ 1776.6
Pivot S1 Daily: $ 1765.55
Pivot S2 Daily: $ 1756.35
Pivot S3 Daily: $ 1744.25
Pivot R1 Daily: $ 1786.85
Pivot R2 Daily: $ 1798.95
Pivot R3 Daily: $ 1808.15

۰۲ اسفند ۹۹ ، ۱۵:۳۵
حمید راحت حق